GFS降雨预报在古田流域洪水预报中的可用性研究

华电技术 ›› 2018, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (8): 1-4.

• 研究与开发 • 下一篇

GFS降雨预报在古田流域洪水预报中的可用性研究

1.华电福新能源股份有限公司古田溪水力发电厂，福建宁德〓352258； 2.南瑞集团有限公司，南京〓210003

出版日期:2018-08-25 发布日期:2018-09-20

The feasibility study on GFS rainfall forecast for flood forecasting in Gutian Basin

1.Gutian River Hydroelectric Power Plant, Huadian Fuxin Energy Company Limited，Ningde 352258，China；2.Nari Grope Corporation, Nanjing 210003，China

Online:2018-08-25 Published:2018-09-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

以古田溪流域2017年6月实际暴雨洪水信息为依托，从气象质量检验和洪水期的预报相对误差两方面分析了全球预报系统(GFS)降雨预报的精度，并开展了基于GFS降雨预报的洪水预报，结果表明，结合GFS降雨预报的洪水预报精度和预见期较未结合的降雨预报有了明显的提升。

关键词: GFS, 洪水预报, 预见期, 预报精度

Abstract:

Based on the actual information of rainstorm and flood in the Gutian River Basin in June 2017, the accuracy of global forecasting system(GFS) rainfall forecast was analyzed from the inspection of meteorological quality and relative error of forecasting during flood season. The flood forecast based on GFS rainfall forecast was carried out. The results show that the forecast accuracy and forecast period of flood are obviously improved combined with GFS rainfall forecast compared with that of uncombined GFS.

Key words:

GFS, flood forecast, forecast period, forecast accuracy

叶子国1，李春红2，王蕊2，阮宏华1. GFS降雨预报在古田流域洪水预报中的可用性研究[J]. 华电技术, 2018, 40(8): 1-4.

YE Ziguo1, LI Chunhong2, WANG Rui2, RUAN Honghua1.

The feasibility study on GFS rainfall forecast for flood forecasting in Gutian Basin

[J]. Huadian Technology, 2018, 40(8): 1-4.

GFS降雨预报在古田流域洪水预报中的可用性研究

The feasibility study on GFS rainfall forecast for flood forecasting in Gutian Basin

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