火电主体参与“电能-碳权”市场决策逻辑及策略分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.2097-0706.2025.05.006

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

随着市场化程度加深，火电主体参与多市场协同优化的难度越来越大，为有效支撑火电主体参与市场决策的需求，综合分析电力市场、碳权市场以及“电能-碳权”市场交易决策的影响因素，设计了电力市场、碳权市场交易决策逻辑，探讨了“电能-碳权”市场的决策原理。其次，提出了火电主体参与碳权市场交易决策的建模方法，分别给出碳权市场交易决策的流程、目标、约束条件等，为火电主体参与碳权市场提供了分析与决策逻辑。最后，以火电主体收益最大为目标，构建了面向发电主体收益最优的短期、长期“电能-碳权”市场协同决策模型，并通过算例进行模型的测算和验证，为火电主体参与“电能-碳权”市场提供了市场决策的思路和方法。

关键词: 碳权市场, 电力市场, 碳电市场, 多市场协同, 决策逻辑, 优化决策, 火电主体

Abstract:

As market mechanisms in energy-related markets continue to improve， it has become increasingly challenging for thermal power entities to synergize their operations in multiple markets. To support the effective participation of thermal power entities in market decision-making， factors influencing trading decisions in the electricity market， carbon market， and the integrated electricity-carbon market were analyzed. Based on the decision-making principles of the integrated market， the trading decision-making logic for both the electricity market and carbon market was developed. Subsequently， the analysis and modeling of thermal power entities' participation in carbon market trading decisions provided processes， objectives， and constraints for carbon market trading decisions. With the goal of maximizing the benefits for thermal power entities， a short-term and long-term collaborative decision-making model for the electricity-carbon market was developed. Through case studies and calculations， the effectiveness of the proposed model for the participation of thermal power entities in the electricity-carbon market was validated.

Key words: carbon emission rights market, electricity market, multi-market collaboration, decision-making logic, optimized decision making, thermal power entity

中图分类号:

TM732：TK018

吉斌, 李永刚, 昌力, 李利利, 涂杉杉, 钱娟. 火电主体参与“电能-碳权”市场决策逻辑及策略分析[J]. 综合智慧能源, 2025, 47(5): 51-61.

JI Bin, LI Yonggang, CHANG Li, LI Lili, TU Shanshan, QIAN Juan. Analysis of the logic and strategies for thermal power entities' participation in electricity-carbon market decision making[J]. Integrated Intelligent Energy, 2025, 47(5): 51-61.

图/表 11

图1

图2

图3

图4

表1

火电机组负荷率、碳排放量以及市场交易需求数据

负荷率/%	$p t$ /[元·（kW·h）^-1]	碳排放率/ [kg·（kW·h）^-1]	需求额外碳排放率/[kg·（kW·h）^-1]	机组负荷/MW	$Δ T i$ /t	$Δ T i, 2$ /t	$Δ T i, 1$ /t	发电成本 /[元·（kW·h）^-1]
50	221	0.978 0	0.278 0	330	91.74	4.59	87.15	210
55	253	0.975 0	0.275 0	363	99.83	4.99	94.83	210
60	391	0.911 0	0.211 0	396	83.56	4.18	79.38	210
65	425	0.882 0	0.182 0	429	78.08	3.90	74.17	210
70	495	0.841 0	0.141 0	462	65.14	3.26	61.88	210
75	510	0.812 0	0.112 0	495	55.44	2.77	52.67	210
80	556	0.801 0	0.101 0	528	53.33	2.67	50.66	210
85	560	0.802 0	0.102 0	561	57.22	2.86	54.36	210
90	565	0.804 0	0.104 0	594	61.78	3.09	58.69	210

表1

图5

图6

图7

图8

图9

图10

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