综合智慧能源 ›› 2026, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (2): 68-85.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.2097-0706.2026.02.007

• 电力系统智能控制与数据分析 • 上一篇    下一篇

光伏阵列数学建模与健康状态评估方法综述

纪方旭1(), 苏营2(), 丁坤3,*(), 吴海飞2(), 陈翔3(), 何尧玺1(), 张经炜3()   

  1. 1.长电新能有限责任公司武汉 430015
    2.中国三峡集团科学技术研究院北京 101100
    3.河海大学 机电工程学院江苏 常州 213022
  • 收稿日期:2025-04-21 修回日期:2025-06-25 出版日期:2026-02-25
  • 通讯作者: *丁坤(1975),男,教授,博士,从事光伏发电技术、智能装备技术、机电一体化技术等方面的研究,dingk@hhu.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:纪方旭(1991),男,高级工程师,博士,从事新能源智慧运营管理、硅基太阳电池制造技术等方面的研究,ji_fangxu@ctg.com.cn
    苏营(1992),女,高级工程师,博士,从事新能源电站智慧运维、电站数字化等方面的研究,su_ying1@ctg.com.cn
    吴海飞(1997),男,工程师,硕士,从事新能源发电技术、智慧运维技术等方面的研究,wu_haifei@ctg.com.cn
    陈翔(1994),男,讲师,博士,从事光伏电站建模,运行状态评估技术等方面的研究,Cxiang@hhu.edu.cn
    何尧玺(1987),男,高级工程师,硕士,从事新能源智慧运营管理、水风光一体化等方面的研究,he_yaoxi@ctg.com.cn
    张经炜(1989),男,副教授,博士,从事光伏系统建模、故障诊断等方面的研究,he_yaoxi@ctg.com.cn
  • 基金资助:
    工信部物联网示范项目(Y202101072);中国长江电力股份有限公司资助项目(Z342302011)

Review of mathematical modeling and health status evaluation methods for PV arrays

JI Fangxu1(), SU Ying2(), DING Kun3,*(), WU Haifei2(), CHEN Xiang3(), HE Yaoxi1(), ZHANG Jingwei3()   

  1. 1. China Yangtze Power Renewables Company LimitedWuhan 430015, China
    2. Science and Technology Research Institute of China Three Gorges GroupBeijing 101100, China
    3. College of Mechanical and Electrical EngineeringHohai UniversityChangzhou 213022, China
  • Received:2025-04-21 Revised:2025-06-25 Published:2026-02-25
  • Supported by:
    IoT Project of Ministry of Industry and Information Technology(Y202101072);China Yangtze Power Company Limited Project(Z342302011)

摘要:

在全球化石能源短缺的背景下,光伏阵列作为光伏发电的核心部分,其健康运维愈发重要。系统梳理了光伏阵列的建模方法、参数辨识、特征提取与健康评估的研究现状。对比了基于等效电路、基于数值模拟和基于神经网络的建模方法:第1种建模方法的机理可解释但精度低;第2种方法适合复杂工况且精度较高;第3种方法属于黑箱模型,导致故障机理解释困难。参数辨识分为解析法和智能优化算法:前者模型参数辨识的精确度不足;后者利用解析初值缩小搜索空间,实现元启发算法优化目的;提出的组合法通过解析初值优化迭代过程,可兼顾计算速度与精度。在特征提取层面,分析了统计特征、信号分解与深度学习的表征差异,强调了I-V曲线标准化对抑制环境噪声的作用。为阐明健康评估与故障诊断的逻辑关系,基于光伏能效性能比和五级健康状态划分体系,制定了高效、精准的光伏阵列状态监测与智能运维方案。所构建的“机理建模→参数辨识→特征提取→状态评估”四位一体技术闭环,可为光伏阵列智能运维提供完整的方法论支撑。

关键词: 光伏阵列, 数学建模, 参数辨识, 特征提取, 健康评估, 故障诊断

Abstract:

As an important part of a PV generation system,the healthy operation and maintenance of PV arrays has become increasingly critical with the worsening shortage of fossil energy. The research statuses of modeling methods,parameter identification,feature extraction,and health evaluation of PV arrays are systematically reviewed. Three modeling approaches are compared: equivalent circuit-based models offer mechanistic interpretability but suffer from low accuracy; numerical simulation-based models are suitable for complex operating conditions and offer relatively high precision; and neural network-based models,as black-box models,make fault mechanism interpretation difficult. Parameter identification techniques are categorized into analytical methods and intelligent optimization algorithms. The former lacks accuracy in model parameter identification,and the latter uses analytical initial values to constrain the search space to achieve optimization with metaheuristic algorithms. The proposed hybrid method optimizes the iteration process using analytical initial values,balancing computational speed and accuracy. For feature extraction,the representational differences among statistical features,signal decomposition,and deep learning are analyzed,highlighting the role of I-V curve standardization in suppressing environmental noise. To clarify the logical relationship between health assessment and fault diagnosis,based on the PV performance ratio and a five-level health status classification system,an efficient and accurate strategy for PV arrays' status monitoring and intelligent operation and maintenance is formulated. The established technical framework integrates "mechanism modeling → parameter identification→feature extraction→status evaluation",providing comprehensive methodological support for intelligent operation and maintenance of PV arrays.

Key words: PV array, mathematical modeling, parameter identification, feature extraction, health evaluation, fault diagnosis

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