综合智慧能源

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新型电力系统建模、控制与源荷预测研究进展

丁新宇, 周庆才, 迟耀丹, 张尧, 王俊喜, 王超, 贾红丹, 林国雄   

  1. 吉林建筑大学电气与计算机学院, 吉林 130118 中国
  • 收稿日期:2025-06-18 修回日期:2025-08-09
  • 基金资助:
    户用风光互补发电系统研究与应用示范(20240304183SF)

Research progress on modeling, control and source-load prediction of novel power systems

  1. College of Electrical and Computer Science, Jilin Jianzhu University 130118, China
  • Received:2025-06-18 Revised:2025-08-09
  • Supported by:
    Research and application demonstration of household wind-solar complementary power generation system(20240304183SF)

摘要: 当前,全球能源结构正经历深刻转型,以风能、太阳能为代表的可再生能源凭借其清洁性和可持续性,日益成为电力供应的关键组成部分。然而,这类能源固有的间歇性和波动性,如风速变化和日照强度波动,对传统电力系统的稳定运行构成了显著挑战。具体表现为电网频率和电压的剧烈波动,甚至可能引发系统失稳,威胁供电可靠性。为有效应对上述挑战,电力系统亟需引入先进的技术与方法,以保障其运行的可靠性与效率。研究旨在深入探讨电力系统仿真与建模技术、电力系统频率调节方法以及人工智能在新能源系统中的应用。研究将从技术和经济层面分析可再生能源接入对电力系统的多维度影响,总结新能源电力系统当前的发展现状与挑战,并展望未来的发展趋势及主要研究热点。

关键词: 新能源电力系统, 可再生能源, 电力系统仿真, 调频技术, 发电预测, 能源管理系统

Abstract: At present, the global energy structure is undergoing a profound transformation. Renewable energy, represented by wind energy and solar energy, is increasingly becoming a key component of power supply with its cleanliness and sustainability. However, the inherent intermittency and volatility of such energy sources, such as wind speed changes and sunshine intensity fluctuations, pose significant challenges to the stable operation of traditional power systems. The specific performance is the violent fluctuation of grid frequency and voltage, which may even lead to system instability and threaten the reliability of power supply. In order to effectively cope with the above challenges, the power system urgently needs to introduce advanced technologies and methods to ensure the reliability and efficiency of its operation. The purpose of this study is to explore the power system simulation and modeling technology, power system frequency regulation method and the application of artificial intelligence in new energy system. The research will analyze the multi-dimensional impact of renewable energy access on power system from the technical and economic aspects, summarize the current development status and challenges of new energy power system, and look forward to the future development trend and main research hotspots.

Key words: new energy power system, renewable energy source, power system simulation, frequency modulation, power forecasting, energy management system